By Marita Noon
The current cold covering a large portion of the country has, once again, brought out the climate change alarmists with claims of â€œserious threat.â€
Due to his respected position, as climate scientist at the University of California, San Diego Institution of Oceanography, Richard C.J. Somervilleâ€™s recent â€œCold comfortâ€ column was published in newspapers throughout the country.
In it, he grouses that the public doesnâ€™t take the â€œconsequencesâ€ of climate change seriouslyâ€”pointing out that they are â€œhere and now.â€ He cites: â€œonly 54 percent of the public sees it as a global threat to their countriesâ€”and only 40 percent of Americans do.â€
Somerville suggests: â€œpeople either are scientifically illiterate or reject science when it conflicts with their core values or religious convictions.â€
He posits: â€œthe medical profession and communication experts may have much to teach those climate scientistsâ€ because â€œPriming patients to appreciate the value of medical diagnostic tests has been shown to make them more likely to take these tests and then act on the results.â€
What Somerville misses in the analogy is that the data back up the medical case. For example, getting a mammogram catches breast cancer early and increases survival rates. The data have shown that medical science is correct.
On the contrary, the data donâ€™t support the claims made by climate scientistsâ€”but they just keep making them. Apparently they believe the â€œbig lieâ€ propaganda technique used so effectively by Adolf Hitler.
In Somervilleâ€™s column, he offers several familiar, easily disproven statements:
â€¢â€œLow-lying areas are threatened by sea-level riseâ€ which will result in â€œmillions of environmental refugeesâ€ and
â€¢â€œmajor threats to agricultural productivity as rainfall patterns change and as heat waves, floods, droughts and other weather extremes worsen.â€
Because my expertise is in communications not climate, I reached out to someone who could help me: Robert Endlichâ€”who does in fact have both the education and experience.
Endlich, who served as a USAF weather officer for 21 years and holds a BS in geology and an MS in meteorology, offered me pages of data and documentation, which Iâ€™ve summarized for my readers.
If the threat of â€œenvironmental refugeesâ€ sounds familiar, it should.
The 2005 UN Environmental Program forecast 50 million to 100 million climate refugees.
A UN report by Norman Myers: â€œEnvironmental Refugees, an Emergent Security Issue,â€ presented at the 13th Economic Forum, in Prague, May 23-27, 2005, predicted: â€œThe environmental refugees total could well double between 1995 and 2010,â€ and â€œWhen global warming takes hold, there could be as many as 200 million people overtaken by disruptions of monsoon systems and other rainfall regimes, by droughts of unprecedented severity and duration, and by sea-level rise and coastal flooding.â€
His report was accompanied by a map, indicating areas to be impacted by sea-level rise.
In early 2011, Gavin Atkins asked: â€œWhat happened to the climate refugees?â€
In his Asian Correspondent post, he used census records to show that the populations in the low-lying areas predicted to â€œflee a range of disasters including sea level riseâ€ had actually grownâ€”including no fewer than the top six of the very fastest growing cities in China.
Based on both in-person observation and historic evidence from Western Europe, Endlich has made a study of sea level rise.
Citing geological features such as stream meanders upstream of Pisa on the Arno River and new shorelines on the coast of the Ligurian Sea, and history, he told me: â€œWhat may be news to many is that there is widespread evidence in the Mediterranean Basin and the English Channel coast that sea levels in Roman and Medieval periods were significantly higher than at present. The Roman port of Ostia Antica, the port at Ephesus, now in Turkey, and Pisa have histories showing the Mediterranean Seas significantly higher than todayâ€™s sea levels.â€
Endlich continued: â€œIn 1066, William the Conqueror defeated King Harold at the Battle of Hastings. Less well-known is when William landed, he first occupied an old Roman fort now known as Pevensey Castle, which at the time was located on a small island in a harbor on Englandâ€™s south coast. A drawbridge connected castle to mainland. Pevensey is infamous because unfortunate prisoners were thrown out this â€œSea Gate,â€ so that their bodies would be washed away by the tide. Pevensey Castle is now a mile from the coastâ€”further proof of higher sea levels fewer than 1000 years ago.â€